"like the captured spy"
I came across a quote somewhere in recent reading (I don't recall where) that tickled my fancy. It was, then-US-EPA director, William Ruckleshaus's observation on what might happen when a risk assessment pointed to a need for dire action. The full quote is:
(The quote comes from Ruckleshaus's address to Princeton University on 18-Feb-1984 as reported under the title "Risk in a Free Society" in "Risk Analysis" (the journal of The Society for Risk Analysis) 1984; 4(3):157-162.)
When the action so forced has dire economic or social consequences, the person who must make the decision may be sorely tempted to ask for a "reinterpretation" of the data. We should remember that risk assessment data can be like the captured spy: if you torture it long enough, it will tell you anything you want to know. So it is good public policy to so structure an agency that such temptation is avoided.I suspect that many opinions, assessments, estimates and analyses have a similar characteristic. Now I have a concise simile for it.
(The quote comes from Ruckleshaus's address to Princeton University on 18-Feb-1984 as reported under the title "Risk in a Free Society" in "Risk Analysis" (the journal of The Society for Risk Analysis) 1984; 4(3):157-162.)
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